Sunday, September 23, 2012

NFL Week 3 Preview and Predictions

Texans quarterback Matt Schaub has been superb this season, but faces his toughest task so far with the Broncos on Sunday. (Brett Davis)
5. Philadelphia Eagles (2-0) @ Arizona Cardinals (2-0) - 4:05 PM EST, FOX

When Cardinals quarterback Kevin Kolb was benched before the season began in favor of John Skelton, it seemed unlikely that Kolb would get the opportunity to play his for team, the Eagles, when they came to town in Week 3. However, injuries to Skelton have made Kolb the starter once again. What seemed even less likely is that the Cardinals would be undefeated coming into Sunday's game. But after wins over the Seahawks and Patriots, that is exactly how the Cardinals come into the third week of the NFL season.

The Eagles are 2-0 as well, even if it is by the narrowest of margins. Their two wins so far this season have been by one point each. The Eagles must be more careful with the football. In the past fifty years, only four teams have turned the ball over at least four times in their first two games and won both games. The Eagles must do much better in that regard if they hope to keep winning football games. The Cardinals need big games out of their running backs Beanie Well and Ryan Williams to have a shot at pulling another upset. A balanced attack will help keep the Eagles defense on their heels.

Prediction: Cardinals 24 Eagles 20

4. Green Bay Packers (1-1) @ Seattle Seahawks (1-1) - 8:30 PM EST (Monday), ESPN/WatchESPN

The Packers rebounded from a Week 1 defeat at the San Francisco 49ers with a solid win over their divisional rival Chicago Bears. They used some trickery and improved play from their defense to help earn their first victory of the season. The Packers offense still isn't putting up big winners, but no one doubts they are one of the best in the league regardless. The Seahawks had one of the best preseasons of any team in the NFL. While their Week 1 letdown against the Cardinals was a bit surprising, they rebounded solidly with a 27-7 thumping of the Dallas Cowboys.

The Seahawks offense is centered upon running back Marshawn Lynch. He sets up ball control and keys their possession-based offense. Lynch takes the pressure off rookie quarterback Russell Wilson by helping set up his play-action pass. The Seahawks defense is talented, but will have their handful the Packers offense. The key matchup will be the Packers receivers against the Seahawks secondary. The Seahawks big cornerbacks will look to disrupt the Packers timing from the very snap of the football.

Prediction: Packers 24 Seahawks 17

3. Atlanta Falcons (2-0) @ San Diego Chargers (2-0) - 4:05 PM EST, FOX

The Falcons already have two wins against AFC West opponents this season. They will look to get their third Sunday as they travel to San Diego to take on the Chargers. The Falcons survived a trip to Arrowhead Stadium in Week 1 and defeated Peyton Manning and the Broncos in the national spotlight in Week 2. The Chargers are undefeated through the first two weeks of the season as well, after beating their divisional rival Oakland Raiders in Week 1 and throttling the Tennessee Titans in Week 2.

The big matchup in this game is the battle of the quarterbacks. Matt Ryan has been superb so far this season for the Falcons. His composure and calm demeanor under pressure has earned him the nickname of "Matty Ice." The aspect of the Falcons offense that has struggled has been their rushing attack. Tailback Michael Turner appears to have lost a step, but will look to rebound against the Chargers. Quarterback Philip Rivers' strong play has led the Chargers offense to success. Their quick, short yardage passing game has been the prominent feature that has brought about success.

Prediction: Falcons 27 Chargers 21

2. New England Patriots (1-1) @ Baltimore Ravens (1-1) - 8:20 PM EST (Sunday), NBC

The importance of having a great kicker might be overlooked around the league, but these two teams can speak to its significance. In last year's AFC championship game, the Ravens' Billy Cundiff had a 32-yard chip shot to send the game to overtime. He choked and the Ravens season was consequentially over. Last week, the Patriots had a chance to avoid an embarrassing upset to the Cardinals. Kicker Stephen Gostkowski had a 42-yard attempt to win the game for the Patriots. However, he shanked the kick badly, giving the Cardinals the upset victory.

Both teams are very good and rarely lose two in a row, so we should expect a battle in this one. The Patriots will need quarterback Tom Brady to lead the way. One of the strongest parts of his game is his ability to read defenses and pick them apart at any level. Ravens quarterback Joe Flacco has been good, but his inconsistent play makes him difficult to rely on. That is why the Ravens offense centers upon running back Ray Rice. He is one of the most versatile playmakers in the league and capable of breaking one at any given time. One last thing to note is that the Ravens are tough to beat at home with a record of 15-1 over the past two seasons.

Prediction: Ravens 28 Patriots 27

1. Houston Texans (2-0) @ Denver Broncos (1-1) - 4:25 PM EST, CBS

The Texans have dismantled their first two opponents of the season by a margin of 57-17. Quarterback Matt Schaub has played well and their running game has been able to help eat up the clock in the second half. The Texans defense has been suffocating in both games. They lead the league in total defense (196.0 yards per game) and scoring defense (8.5 points per game). After a big win over the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 1, the Broncos suffered a bit of a letdown in their Week 2 loss to the Falcons. Quarterback Peyton Manning played nearly perfect in his first game with the Broncos, but was unable to overcome a couple of early mistakes in the second one.

Both teams will need a balanced attack to find success against a pair of talented defenses. Schaub will need continued solid play out of running back Arian Foster and the Texans rushing attack. The Broncos will need running back Willis McGahee to play well to help take pressure off Manning. Turnovers could be crucial in separating these sides. The Texans have forced five and have yet to give one up one themselves so far this season.

Prediction: Texans 27 Broncos 20

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